On May 13, 2024 Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings Inc. announced that it received a notice on May 7 from the NYSE informing the company that is is not in compliance with Section 802.01C. The commons stock was under $1 per share over a consecutive 30 trading-day period. Ginkgo has 6 months to regain compliance.
The company has been in existence since 2008. It's IPO was in 2001. They entered the market through a merger with SPAC Soaring Eagle at a $17.5B valuation. They currently have a market cap of $0.94B. The CEO and co-founder, Jason Kelly has been the only CEO (16.3 years) at Ginkgo. He is asking for a raise.
The solution to the problems of the Biotechnology industry, as well as the recent debates of the Covid virus origination is the empowered laboratory work force. The people at the highest positions think they can bully underlings around like Steve Jobs at Apple. The problem is that Steve Jobs was bullying some very smart and useful people around. Biotech and the life sciences leaders have spent their time diminishing the significance of the work done by their subordinates. As a result they were all left with nothing but the narrative they started with. No scientific backing to prop up and/or propel the big ideas. We end up with pandemics they didn't see coming and $15B corporate failures. And it happens fast.
If there were an empowered laboratory workforce, it might just work as Ginkgo claims their labs work. From a business perspective you want the projects to all work out. Need a protein? Here you go. Need a test? Here you go. The problem is spelled out in the Cargo Cult Science speech. It's not a question of how to arrange things differently, like the coconut headsets. There is a fundamental misunderstanding.
Theoretically Ginkgo would be the empowered laboratory workforce. Someone with power applies skepticism to the claims of those in their group. They send the research out for testing. The testing is done in the empowered laboratory by skilled life long professionals. What Ginkgo does however is not at the skeptical level. They allow for the claims of magical molecules, develop the molecules and they hand them back to the people who thought them up. The original thinkers and Ginkgo have both avoided the empowered laboratory work force. No one has applied the scientific method described in the CCS to put the idea through the black box. Idea in, reality out.
Half of the NIH $39B budget should go towards laboratories that test the work done by the grantees who receive the other half of the budget.
Just as we saw with the e-mail between Collins and Fauci, forcing desired outcomes is how science is conducted at the highest levels. "This proposal from the three fringe epidemiologists who met with the Secretary seems to be getting a lot of attention-and even a signature from Nobel Prize winner Mike Leavitt at Stanford. There needs to be a quick and devastating published take down of its premises. I don't see anything like that on line yet. Is it on it underway?" - Francis Collins to Anthony Fauci
The empowered laboratory workforce would be interested in the database at the Wuhan lab. It would be easy to discover if they had anything to do with Sars-Cov2 if they had laboratory evidence. Collins and Fauci would not know how to find it. They wouldn't know what to look for. Instead they wield the kind of power that says, "write a paper and have it published in a major journal that disputes the ideas we can not abide". How does a scientist dispute ideas that may be true? Step one: Avoid the evidence!
Ginkgo has a similar scientific method. A company comes to them needing one of the many services. Let's say they want a protein made and manufactured to be sold as a drug delivery product. The company tells Ginkgo what the protein will do once it is made. Ginkgo makes the protein. They hand it back. The company now has to prove that the protein does what they said it will do. Sars Cov2 did not come from a lab in Wuhan and this new protein will deliver drugs to specific cells. If anyone says otherwise, take them down in the journals.
What then is Ginkgos role in the success of their business partner? None. They take the money if the company succeeds at getting their desired outcome.
The desired outcome is not the actual outcome most of the time. The truth (reality) is tough. If you make widgets on an assembly line your job is well defined. If you make antibodies that bind to specific proteins you are making widgets. The complicated nature of the work is higher than that of the assembly line worker. The difference is akin to a person who makes cakes versus someone who makes rocket engines. If your job is to convince others that the widgets cure cancer, you are not making widgets. You work in advertising. You sell your companies product. You sell whatever they tell you to sell. The highest ranking officials tell you what the desired product will do. Everybody else lives and dies on whether or not the desired product does what it is supposed to do.
Will Ginkgo Bioworks fail? It's not up to them. It depends on chance. Luck. Will their business model allow them to land that one product that will make them the kind of money they have structured into their payoff system? It's not up to them. They are on a fishing expedition.